Wake Forest
W-L: (36-23) PR = 97.2677Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 2- 8 214 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 5- 0 215 A Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 10- 1 217 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 7- 7 220 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 11- 2 221 H Siena MAAC ( 1- 7, 88.3) 8- 1 222 H Siena MAAC ( 1- 7, 88.3) 15- 1 224 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 5- 1 227 H Davidson A10 ( 1- 7, 90.0) 7- 1 227 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 12- 2 228 H Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 15- 4 301 A Niagara MAAC ( 1-11, 89.1) 16- 3 304 H Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 9-12 306 A Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 7- 3 307 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 12- 9 307 H Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 14-10 310 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 4-10 313 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 0-10 314 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 0- 2 315 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 6-12 317 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 11- 0 320 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 6-10 321 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 13-12 322 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 4-14 324 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 11- 1 328 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 4- 1 329 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 3- 5 331 A High Point BSO ( 8-12, 93.3) 0- 1 401 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 15- 4 403 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 8- 2 404 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 22- 8 405 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 3- 4 407 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 1- 4 410 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 1-11 411 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 3- 1 412 A Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 0- 8 414 H Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 10- 5 417 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 22- 1 418 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 18- 7 419 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 5- 6 421 H UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 14- 3 424 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 5- 6 425 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 11-14 426 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 5- 6 428 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 3- 2 430 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 9- 8 501 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 6- 5 502 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 7- 5 508 H Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 6- 1 509 H Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 14- 2 510 H Western Carolina SO ( 4-10, 93.3) 9- 5 512 A Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 7- 5 514 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 7- 3 515 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 7-12 516 A Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 3- 7 520 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 4- 7 529 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 5- 6 530 A Binghamton AE ( 3- 9, 91.4) 12- 3 530 A Binghamton AE ( 3- 9, 91.4) 12- 3 531 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 5-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Houston 2- 8 -6 2 --- -8.00
214 H Washington 5- 0 5 4 0.93
215 A Indiana State 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.72
217 A Troy 7- 7 0 0 -0.37
220 A Nebraska 11- 2 9 0 +++ 9.45
221 H Siena 8- 1 7 10 - -2.62
222 H Siena 15- 1 14 10 ++ 4.38
224 A UNC Greensboro 5- 1 4 5 -0.65
227 H Davidson 7- 1 6 8 -1.90
227 H Loyola Marymount 12- 2 10 7 + 3.02
228 H Loyola Marymount 15- 4 11 7 ++ 4.02
301 A Niagara 16- 3 13 8 ++ 5.46
304 H Penn State 9-12 -3 6 --- -9.23
306 A Northern Kentucky 7- 3 4 7 - -3.07
307 H Stanford 12- 9 3 3 -0.39
307 H Stanford 14-10 4 3 0.61
310 A Coastal Carolina 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.11
313 H Florida State 0-10 -10 1 --- -10.96
314 H Florida State 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.96
315 H Florida State 6-12 -6 1 --- -6.96
317 H Liberty 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.21
320 A Virginia 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.49
321 H Illinois 13-12 1 3 -1.80
322 A Virginia 4-14 -10 0 --- -10.49
324 H Elon 11- 1 10 6 + 3.96
328 H California 4- 1 3 3 0.19
329 H California 3- 5 -2 3 -- -4.81
401 H Clemson 15- 4 11 2 +++ 8.70
403 A Pittsburgh 8- 2 6 0 ++ 5.77
404 A Pittsburgh 22- 8 14 0 +++ 13.77
405 A Pittsburgh 3- 4 -1 0 -1.23
407 A Florida 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.32
410 H Kansas State 1-11 -10 1 --- -11.33
411 A Miami of Florida 3- 1 2 1 1.05
412 A Miami of Florida 0- 8 -8 1 --- -8.95
414 H Coastal Carolina 10- 5 5 2 + 2.54
417 H NC State 22- 1 21 2 +++ 12.44
418 H NC State 18- 7 11 2 +++ 9.44
419 H NC State 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.56
421 H UNC Greensboro 14- 3 11 6 ++ 4.99
424 A Georgia Tech 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.31
425 A Georgia Tech 11-14 -3 -3 0.31
426 A Georgia Tech 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.31
428 H App State 3- 2 1 3 -1.76
430 H Louisville 9- 8 1 2 -0.74
501 H Louisville 6- 5 1 2 -0.74
502 H Louisville 7- 5 2 2 0.26
508 H Western Carolina 6- 1 5 5 0.37
509 H Western Carolina 14- 2 12 5 +++ 7.37
510 H Western Carolina 9- 5 4 5 -0.63
512 A Liberty 7- 5 2 0 1.56
514 H Louisville 7- 3 4 2 + 2.26
515 H Louisville 7-12 -5 2 --- -6.74
516 A Duke 3- 7 -4 2 --- -6.10
520 H Pittsburgh 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.58
529 H Kentucky 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.03
530 A Binghamton 12- 3 9 5 + 3.78
530 A Binghamton 12- 3 9 5 + 3.78
531 A West Virginia 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.44
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Houston 2- 8 -6 2 --- -8.00 304 H Penn State 9-12 -3 6 --- -9.23 310 A Coastal Carolina 4-10 -6 1 --- -7.11 313 H Florida State 0-10 -10 1 --- -10.96 315 H Florida State 6-12 -6 1 --- -6.96 322 A Virginia 4-14 -10 0 --- -10.49 410 H Kansas State 1-11 -10 1 --- -11.33 412 A Miami of Florida 0- 8 -8 1 --- -8.95 515 H Louisville 7-12 -5 2 --- -6.74 516 A Duke 3- 7 -4 2 --- -6.10 320 A Virginia 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.49 329 H California 3- 5 -2 3 -- -4.81 520 H Pittsburgh 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.58 221 H Siena 8- 1 7 10 - -2.62 306 A Northern Kentucky 7- 3 4 7 - -3.07 314 H Florida State 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.96 419 H NC State 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.56 529 H Kentucky 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.03 531 A West Virginia 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Nebraska 11- 2 9 0 +++ 9.45 317 H Liberty 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.21 401 H Clemson 15- 4 11 2 +++ 8.70 404 A Pittsburgh 22- 8 14 0 +++ 13.77 417 H NC State 22- 1 21 2 +++ 12.44 418 H NC State 18- 7 11 2 +++ 9.44 509 H Western Carolina 14- 2 12 5 +++ 7.37 215 A Indiana State 10- 1 9 4 ++ 4.72 222 H Siena 15- 1 14 10 ++ 4.38 228 H Loyola Marymount 15- 4 11 7 ++ 4.02 301 A Niagara 16- 3 13 8 ++ 5.46 403 A Pittsburgh 8- 2 6 0 ++ 5.77 421 H UNC Greensboro 14- 3 11 6 ++ 4.99 227 H Loyola Marymount 12- 2 10 7 + 3.02 324 H Elon 11- 1 10 6 + 3.96 414 H Coastal Carolina 10- 5 5 2 + 2.54 424 A Georgia Tech 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.31 426 A Georgia Tech 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.31 514 H Louisville 7- 3 4 2 + 2.26 530 A Binghamton 12- 3 9 5 + 3.78 530 A Binghamton 12- 3 9 5 + 3.78 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Houston (23-28, 94.6) 2- 8 -5.30 13.12 0.68 0.48 -1.12
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 5- 0 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.48 11.30
3 A Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 10- 1 -7.59 10.84 0.68 0.48 11.10
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 7- 7 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.48 0.00
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 11- 2 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.48 15.66
3 H Siena ( 1- 7, 88.3) 8- 1 -11.57 6.85 -0.68 0.48 5.95
3 H Siena ( 1- 7, 88.3) 15- 1 -11.57 6.85 -0.68 0.48 5.95
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 5- 1 -7.96 10.46 0.68 0.48 10.74
3 H Davidson ( 1- 7, 90.0) 7- 1 -9.86 8.57 -0.68 0.48 7.61
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 12- 2 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.48 8.50
3 H Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 15- 4 -8.93 9.49 -0.68 0.48 8.50
3 A Niagara ( 1-11, 89.1) 16- 3 -10.85 7.58 0.68 0.48 7.96
3 H Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 9-12 -8.19 10.24 -0.68 0.48 -2.14
3 A Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 7- 3 -10.38 8.05 0.68 0.48 8.41
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 12- 9 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.48 11.96
3 H Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 14-10 -5.34 13.08 -0.68 0.48 11.96
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 4-10 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.48 -0.90
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 0-10 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.48 -0.87
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 0- 2 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.48 -0.87
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 6-12 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 0.48 -0.87
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 11- 0 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.48 13.50
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 6-10 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.48 -0.75
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 13-12 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 0.48 12.53
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 4-14 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.48 -0.75
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 11- 1 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.48 9.40
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 4- 1 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.48 12.52
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 3- 5 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.48 -1.31
3 A High Point ( 8-12, 93.3) 0- 1 -6.62 11.80 0.68 0.48 -1.43
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 15- 4 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.48 13.01
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 8- 2 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.48 15.01
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 22- 8 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.48 15.01
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 3- 4 -3.53 14.89 0.68 0.48 -0.69
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 1- 4 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.48 -0.23
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 1-11 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.48 -0.95
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 3- 1 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.48 14.31
3 A Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 0- 8 -4.25 14.17 0.68 0.48 -0.86
3 H Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 10- 5 -4.42 14.01 -0.68 0.48 12.85
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 22- 1 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 0.48 13.72
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 18- 7 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 0.48 13.72
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 5- 6 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 0.48 -1.01
3 H UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 14- 3 -7.96 10.46 -0.68 0.48 9.44
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 5- 6 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.48 -0.16
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 11-14 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.48 -0.16
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 5- 6 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.48 -0.16
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 3- 2 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.48 12.56
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 9- 8 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.48 13.55
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 6- 5 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.48 13.55
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 7- 5 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.48 13.55
3 H Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 6- 1 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.48 10.76
3 H Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 14- 2 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.48 10.76
3 H Western Caroli ( 4-10, 93.3) 9- 5 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.48 10.76
3 A Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 7- 5 -3.75 14.68 0.68 0.48 14.80
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 7- 3 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.48 13.55
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 7-12 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.48 -1.05
3 A Duke (29-28, 94.5) 3- 7 -5.40 13.02 0.68 0.48 -1.14
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 4- 7 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.48 -1.01
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 5- 6 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 0.48 -1.12
3 A Binghamton ( 3- 9, 91.4) 12- 3 -8.53 9.89 0.68 0.48 10.19
3 A Binghamton ( 3- 9, 91.4) 12- 3 -8.53 9.89 0.68 0.48 10.19
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 5-10 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.48 -0.26
------
395.00
|
winning pts = 414.8236 losing points = -19.8259
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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